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Information from NOAA Storm Prediction Center at this website

More SPC info on this site: 

SPC Day 4-8 Outlook

Updates are issued at 400 am CST/CDT (0900/1000 UTC) - Current UTC time: Jul 27 2024 8:10 am


 

Day 1
D4Tuesday Jul 30 2024 - Wednesday Jul 31 2024 D7Friday Aug 2 2024 - Saturday Aug 3 2024
D5Wednesday Jul 31 2024 - Thursday Aug 1 2024 D8Saturday Aug 3 2024 - Sunday Aug 4 2024
D6Thursday Aug 1 2024 - Friday Aug 2 2024 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to:
1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions,
2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or
3) minimal run-to-run continuity.

POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears highly unlikely during the entire period (e.g. less than a 30% probability for a regional severe storm area across the CONUS through the entire Day 4-8 period).

Day 2

Day 3

Largly based on original scripts from Ken True: saratoga-weather.org and Rick Curly: ricksturf.com